Analysis & events

The Vandenberg Coalition

Honest Candor

Senator Vandenberg called for “honest candor” in discussions on U.S. foreign policy. The Vandenberg Coalition is proud to continue this tradition by sharing the best analysis from across the country and around the world.

Europe

Germany Has Only Itself to Blame

TVC Advisory Board Member James Kirchick | Washington Post | July 26, 2022 Bottom Line: Moscow is restricting energy sales to Europe—and in particular Germany—to limit its support to Ukraine. Between the decision to phase out nuclear power and its blind loyalty to the NordStream program, Berlin has only itself to blame as the price of energy skyrockets.

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Defense Budget

Is the Pentagon at Risk of Running Out of Weapons?

Maj. Gen. John Ferrari (U.S. Army, ret.) | The Dispatch | July 27, 2022 Bottom Line: The American defense industrial base is in steep decline, calling into question our ability prevail in a long war against a capable adversary. The decline of U.S. manufacturing, dearth of STEM talent, high regulatory burden, and the uncertainty of Congressional appropriations have atrophied a once vital U.S. strategic asset.

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Iran

Tehran, the Day After

TVC Advisory Board Members Reuel Marc Gerecht & Ray Takeyh | National Review | July 28, 2022 Bottom Line: A military strike on Iran’s nuclear program would be designed to eliminate the regime’s capacity to build a bomb; however, if successful it could also undermine the legitimacy of the Khamenei regime and spark a revolt from the Iranian people.

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Technology

CHIPS Act Won’t Help China

Oren Cass | The American Conservative | July 27, 2022 Bottom Line: Opponents of the CHIPS Act who erroneously claim that the legislation would subsidize semiconductor production in China make the perfect the enemy of the good and twist the facts of the bill to score their own political points.

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China and Defense

China is No. 1 Domestic National Security Threat and the Biden Administration Won’t Admit It

Michael Ellis | Fox News | July 29, 2022 Bottom Line: From industrial espionage to influence operations targeting state and local politicians, the threat posed by the Chinese Communist Party is as much a problem of domestic security as it is foreign policy. Nevertheless, the Biden administration has seen fit to cancel programs designed to thwart CCP activities inside the country.

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