Reports & Statements

The Vandenberg Coalition brings you reports and research from critical regions around the globe. 

The Day After: A Plan for Gaza

The Day After A Plan for Gaza A joint project of JINSA and The Vandenberg Coalition, this Gaza Futures Task Force convened a group of former U.S. national security officials who served in both Republican and Democratic administrations to assess the impact of the October 7 terrorist attack

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Statement from Conservative Leaders in Support of Ukraine Aid

Conservative Leaders Call for Additional Military Aid to Ukraine
October 4, 2023 —The Vandenberg Coalition, a network of conservative national security professionals that promotes a strong and proud American foreign policy, released a public letter signed by over 100 leading conservatives urging Congressional Republicans to increase support for Ukraine. 

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U.S.-Supplied Weapons to Taiwan and Ukraine

It is crucial that the United States supply Taiwan with military equipment to deter and defend against a prospective Chinese attack; at the same time, the United States has a clear national interest in providing military aid to Ukraine to defeat Russia’s…

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What’s Missing From Mearsheimer’s Analysis of Ukraine War

Joe Cirincione | Russia Matters | July 29, 2022 Bottom Line: Prominent critics who argue that NATO expansion provoked Russia’s invasion of Ukraine ignore Moscow’s own statements of intent, minimize the criminal brutality of Russia’s actions, and deny the agency of both Russia and the allies who chose to join NATO for protection from Moscow’s predation.

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Germany Has Only Itself to Blame

TVC Advisory Board Member James Kirchick | Washington Post | July 26, 2022 Bottom Line: Moscow is restricting energy sales to Europe—and in particular Germany—to limit its support to Ukraine. Between the decision to phase out nuclear power and its blind loyalty to the NordStream program, Berlin has only itself to blame as the price of energy skyrockets.

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Is the Pentagon at Risk of Running Out of Weapons?

Maj. Gen. John Ferrari (U.S. Army, ret.) | The Dispatch | July 27, 2022 Bottom Line: The American defense industrial base is in steep decline, calling into question our ability prevail in a long war against a capable adversary. The decline of U.S. manufacturing, dearth of STEM talent, high regulatory burden, and the uncertainty of Congressional appropriations have atrophied a once vital U.S. strategic asset.

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Tehran, the Day After

TVC Advisory Board Members Reuel Marc Gerecht & Ray Takeyh | National Review | July 28, 2022 Bottom Line: A military strike on Iran’s nuclear program would be designed to eliminate the regime’s capacity to build a bomb; however, if successful it could also undermine the legitimacy of the Khamenei regime and spark a revolt from the Iranian people.

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CHIPS Act Won’t Help China

Oren Cass | The American Conservative | July 27, 2022 Bottom Line: Opponents of the CHIPS Act who erroneously claim that the legislation would subsidize semiconductor production in China make the perfect the enemy of the good and twist the facts of the bill to score their own political points.

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Chinese Leaders Know They Have No Claim to Taiwan

Michael Rubin | National Interest | July 29, 2022 Bottom Line: Despite belligerent rhetoric from Beijing this week in response to Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan, the PRC’s claim to the island is baseless. PRC leaders as far back as Mao recognized Taiwan as politically distinct from the mainland.

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America’s Schools Are Creating a National Security Crisis

Garrett Exner | Washington Examiner | July 22, 2022 Bottom Line: As a new cohort of youth reach the prime age to enter the military, the Pentagon is facing a recruiting crisis. Schools have created a generation of Americans who fear the intellectual, physical, and emotional adversity required by military service.

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The Pentagon Gets the Better Part of a Trillion Dollars a Year. Why Isn’t That Enough?

TVC Advisory Board Member Mackenzie Eaglen | Defense News | July 26, 2022 Bottom Line: The vast majority of Pentagon spending is on autopilot, with only 10 to 15 percent shifting to address changing strategic priorities year over year. Many of America’s defense woes can be attributed to the tangle of bureaucratic barnacles that have built up on the Pentagon budgeting process over the decades.

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Inside the Pentagon Slugfest Over the Future of the Fleet

Lara Seligman, Lee Hudson, & Paul McLeary | Politico | July 24, 2022 Bottom Line: The relationship between the Secretary of the Navy, the Deputy Secretary of Defense, and other senior DOD officials is marked by deep disagreements over the correct size and shape of the Navy’s future fleet, limiting the Pentagon’s ability to invest in the ships and infrastructure necessary to counter Chinese power in the Indo-Pacific.

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American Withdrawal Is America Last

TVC Advisory Board Member Rebeccah Heinrichs | Providence Magazine | July 22, 2022 Bottom Line: The intellectual backers of the ‘New Right’ pushing for America to retreat from the world stage loudly claim the mantle of ‘realism’, but in reality their arguments are nearly indistinguishable from those of the ‘Blame America First’ leftists of the Cold War.

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Sri Lanka’s President Resigns in the Face of Massive Protests

The Economist | July 9, 2022

Bottom Line: Skyrocketing food & energy prices have driven tens of thousands of protesters into the streets of Colombo. The President, Prime Minister, and multiple cabinet members have resigned or fled the capital. Sri Lanka may be a harbinger of things to come in other countries if the cost of living continues to become less and less affordable.

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Ban TikTok Now

TVC Advisory Board Member Klon Kitchen | The Dispatch | July 7, 2022

Bottom Line: Recent reporting reveals that when it comes to TikTok’s data on American users—including children—the Chinese government “has access to everything.” The time has come to dispense with excuses—the federal government must ban the app in the U.S.

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Will Biden Seize His Middle East Moment?

TVC Advisory Board Member John Hannah | Jewish Institute for the National Security of America | July 11, 2022

Bottom Line: Despite the Biden administration’s earlier attempts to appease Iran and chastise Saudi Arabia, the President’s upcoming trip to the Middle East offers a unique opportunity to bolster regional security cooperation by Israel and its Arab neighbors.

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Fighting Back: How Democracies Can Check Authoritarian Aggression

TVC Advisory Board Members Dan Twining & Patrick Quirk | National Interest | July 11, 2022

Bottom Line: As Beijing and Moscow deepen their authoritarian partnership, the U.S. and its allies must think thoroughly about how to deploy their moral, legal, and financial resources as part of a larger campaign to help democracies resist authoritarian influence.

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South Korea Ventures Into Its Indo-Pacific Strategy

Seungjoo Lee | East Asia Forum | July 11, 2022

Bottom Line: In contrast to his predecessor—who strove to balance Chinese economic integration and the U.S.-ROK security relationship—South Korea’s new president is working to deepen his country’s economic ties with America & its allies in the Indo-Pacific.

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Shinzo Abe Invented the ‘Indo-Pacific’

TVC Board Member Matt Pottinger | Wall Street Journal | July 10, 2022

Bottom Line: Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe—who was assassinated at a campaign rally last week—died knowing that his signature geopolitical vision for a “free & open Indo-Pacific” has been embraced by Japan’s friends across the region and beyond.

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Why Sweden And Finland Joining NATO Makes Perfect Sense

TVC Advisory Board Member James Jay Carafano | 19FortyFive | June 30, 2022

Bottom Line: The addition of Sweden and Finland to NATO would bolster the defense of the alliance’s northern members. With the appetite for Nordic neutrality fast diminishing, alliance membership for Sweden and Finland is a rare win-win decision for all involved.

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Don’t Let Russia Dominate the Strategic Concept

Jordan Becker, Douglas Lute, & Simon Smith | War on the Rocks | June 28, 2022

Bottom Line: Although the war in Ukraine took center stage at NATO’s summit in Madrid last week, U.S. focus on Russian aggression cannot come at the exclusion of the persistent national security threat posed by China, which is likely to be a rival for decades.

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NATO Finds Old Purpose in Russia, New One in China

Mailys Pene-Lassus | Nikkei Asia | July 1, 2022

Bottom Line: War in Europe has renewed NATO’s purpose as the bulwark against Russian aggression, but for the first time, the alliance has also turned its attention to the Indo-Pacific and the “systemic challenges” posed by the People’s Republic of China.

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Russia and NATO: How Did We Get Here and How Should We Respond?

Robert Pszczel | Royal United Services Institute | June 29, 2022

Bottom Line: Contra the narrative that NATO has provoked Russian aggression, the alliance has prioritized conflict prevention for decades. NATO must view Russia’s war on Ukraine with clear eyes and commit to a policy of military containment of aggression.

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